CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-10-23T12:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-10-23T12:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/34135/-1
CME Note: PRELIMINARY: CME seen to the north-northeast in SOHO LASCO and northeast in STEREO A COR2 that appears to be associated with a minor eruption with northward deflection occurring near N19E15 south of Active Region 3864 as seen in SDO AIA 171/193 and GOES SUVI 284. Flickering magnetic field lines are observed off the northeast limb nearly simultaneously after the on-disk signature seen in SDO 171 which may suggest, with low confidence, a possible simultaneous far-side component. Triangulation of the CME using SOHO/STEREO A coronagraphs suggested with higher confidence that the CME was predominantly associated with the on-disk signatures. This CME possibly arrived on 2024-10-26 and further analysis is ongoing.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-10-26T20:30Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 40.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.5
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 66.40 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-10-24T02:06Z
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